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Crown Green Handicap

Ian Smith

Team: Pensby DDivision: Division CLast updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

745

Current Handicap

11
Honours
Season:

15

Matches Played

10

Wins

5

Losses

67%

Win Rate

9.0

Avg Win Margin

4.8

Avg Loss Margin

5-3

Home Record

5-2

Away Record

16%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
13 / 33 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 7/29/2026

Only 13 of the 33 matches needed for full confidence in the 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player3/10

Season Highlights

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 15 matches

+11 Rising
23 Jun26 Jun3 Jul29 Jul13 Aug19 May8 Jul29 Jul-13713
Started0
Lowest0
Current11
Win Percentage(35%)
69%
score+0.38→contribution+0.13
Avg Winning Margin(23%)
9.3
score+0.22→contribution+0.05
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
4.8
score+0.54→contribution+0.08
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
69%
score+0.38→contribution+0.04
Opponent Strength(15%)
884
score+0.26→contribution+0.04
Weighted Score+0.352
Sample Size Confidence
16%(13/33 matches)
Rating1141 → shrunk 1022→ adjusted 749
Recent 5-Season Rating (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026)726
Recency Blend17% (13 recent matches)
Final Rating745
Handicap
11

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 400). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 33, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

10W5L15 matches·66.7% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Pensby D2025–2026Division C117463.6%
Pensby B2026Division B220100%
Pensby C2021Division C21150%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
7/29/2026John McgibbonA21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision B
7/22/2026Owen RobertsA7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision C
7/8/2026Jeff LawleyH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision C
7/7/2026Clare Brady *H21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision B
5/19/2026Max MotleyH21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision C
5/12/2026Pauline HainesA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision C
8/13/2025John BonifaceA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision C
8/7/2025Mike HaydenH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision C
7/29/2025Tony McsorleyA21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision C
7/28/2025vs Bromborough Social ClubH21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision C
7/3/2025Gary BrabanderA21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision C
7/2/2025vs Pensby CH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision C
6/26/2025vs Oxton Cons BA21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision C
6/30/2021vs Bromborough Pool BH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision C
6/23/2021vs Pensby BH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision C
Geoff Clare Trophy2 games · 1W
20262 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Quarters RoundLynn BaileyPensby C21-11WINWON
Semi Final RoundGary BoothLever Club C12-21LOSSLOST

Current Streak

1wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

4

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

2

Career worst losing streak

Last 560% win rate
WLLWW
Last 1070% win rate— steady
WLLWWWLWWW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
John Mcgibbon101100%7/29/2026
Owen Roberts0110%7/22/2026
Jeff Lawley0110%7/8/2026
Clare Brady *101100%7/7/2026
Max Motley101100%5/19/2026
Pauline Haines101100%5/12/2026
John Boniface0110%8/13/2025
Mike Hayden101100%8/7/2025
Tony Mcsorley101100%7/29/2025
Bromborough Social Club101100%7/28/2025
Biggest Win
Max Motley (+15)5/19/2026
Heaviest Defeat
Owen Roberts (-14)7/22/2026
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
71% → 63%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
8339 known · 6 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
1-0100% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
5-363% win rate

By Division

Division C8-5 (62%)
Division B2-0 (100%)
Division B100%
2W·0L·2 played
Division C61.5%
8W·5L·13 played

Debut

Jun 23, 2021

Latest

Jul 29, 2026

Seasons Active

3 (5.1 yr span)

Matches / Season

5.0 (15 total)

Seasons

202120252026